Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000988 0.001129 0.001270 0.001422 0.001580 0.001740 0.001913
2025-12-21 0.000795 0.000999 0.001211 0.001445 0.001694 0.001950 0.002231
2025-12-28 0.000602 0.000848 0.001112 0.001411 0.001736 0.002076 0.002454
2026-01-04 0.000468 0.000745 0.001054 0.001412 0.001809 0.002228 0.002700
2026-01-11 0.000348 0.000644 0.000988 0.001397 0.001857 0.002350 0.002909
2026-01-18 0.000252 0.000559 0.000931 0.001385 0.001905 0.002466 0.003109
2026-01-25 0.000150 0.000448 0.000835 0.001322 0.001889 0.002509 0.003225
2026-02-01 0.000086 0.000374 0.000777 0.001297 0.001912 0.002591 0.003380
2026-02-08 0.000046 0.000325 0.000744 0.001299 0.001964 0.002703 0.003566
2026-02-15 0.000020 0.000287 0.000723 0.001313 0.002026 0.002825 0.003762
2026-02-22 0.000005 0.000260 0.000712 0.001337 0.002100 0.002959 0.003968
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000216 0.000674 0.001324 0.002127 0.003037 0.004112
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000152 0.000609 0.001290 0.002147 0.003127 0.004292
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000121 0.000591 0.001316 0.002241 0.003304 0.004573
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000074 0.000534 0.001287 0.002265 0.003401 0.004764
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000045 0.000502 0.001290 0.002329 0.003543 0.005006
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000020 0.000461 0.001277 0.002369 0.003657 0.005214
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000004 0.000425 0.001267 0.002413 0.003773 0.005423
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000358 0.001206 0.002389 0.003807 0.005538
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000318 0.001182 0.002410 0.003893 0.005710
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000296 0.001184 0.002464 0.004017 0.005925
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000282 0.001197 0.002531 0.004155 0.006156
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000275 0.001221 0.002611 0.004309 0.006404